Lumic
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RBI

S&P Sees 7% India Growth, But Expects RBI to Raise Rates by 25 Bps

about 2 months ago · Lumic

S&P Global India GDP forecast and RBI policy rate hike prediction for Indian economy
Lumic
about 2 months ago
S&P Sees 7% India Growth, But Expects RBI to Raise Rates by 25 Bps
KEY POINTS
S&P raised India's FY27 GDP forecast to 7% from 6.6%, citing stronger economic activity
It expects RBI to raise the policy rate by 25 bps during the current fiscal year
India's strong consumption, exports and government investment are supporting the momentum
LUMIC INSIGHT
If growth stays strong, RBI may have more room to raise rates
business standard·about 2 months ago

This Fin Shorts piece delves into S&P Global's latest outlook for the Indian economy. The agency has upgraded its FY27 GDP growth forecast for India to a robust 7%, up from 6.6%, attributing this positive revision to sustained economic activity. Key drivers include strong domestic consumption, healthy export performance, and consistent government investment, all contributing to India's growth momentum. Furthermore, S&P anticipates the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) might opt for a 25 basis points increase in the policy rate within the current fiscal year. This potential RBI policy rate adjustment comes amidst strong economic performance, which, as per Lumic's analysis, could give the RBI more flexibility. The story touches upon India's inflation forecast and the implications for India interest rates and the broader Indian bond market and Indian equities.

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